Obama leads Romney 49% to 46% in new Michigan poll for WJBK - Fox 2 News Headlines

October 8 Poll: Obama leads Romney 49% to 46% in MI

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The polling firm Foster | McCollum | White | Baydoun recently conducted a poll in which 1,122 respondents fully participated. The margin of error for this total polling sample is 2.93% with a confidence level of 95%.

The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you more likely to vote for in the election?

President Barack Obama

49.30%

Republican Nominee Mitt Romney

45.85%

Another candidate

2.24%

Undecided

2.61%

President Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney participated in the first of three presidential debates on October 3rd. Did their debate performance affect your vote for President?

It confirmed my candidate choice

50.88%

It made me change my candidate

4.35%

It had no affect on my candidate

35.71%

I didn't watch the debate

9.06%

Did the performance of the candidates at the debate make you more likely to vote for either one of them? (Only for respondents who select 1-3 in question above)

The debate made you more likely to vote for Governor Romney

36.51%

The debate made you more likely to vote for President Obama

21.58%

The debate made you an undecided voter

2.82%

The debate did not change your likely choice for President

39.10%

September's jobs report was released today and it shows that the national unemployment rate has declined from 8.1% to 7.8% and the country added 114,000 new jobs last month. Some analysts cite this as good news and others are skeptical of the data. Do you believe that the economy is improving, staying the same or getting worse?

The economy is improving

45.44%

The economy is stationary

26.15%

The economy is getting worse

28.41%

Which candidate are you more confident in to address our country's domestic challenges such as the economy, healthcare, energy and education?  

President Obama

49.24%

Mitt Romney

45.76%

Have no confidence in either candidate to address domestic challenges

5.00%

Which candidate do you have more confidence in to address the challenges our country faces in the areas of national security and foreign policy?

President Obama

50.01%

Mitt Romney

44.82%

Have no confidence in either candidate to address foreign policy

5.17%

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and others have demanded that President Obama take a hard line against Iran on its nuclear program. Others have favored more diplomacy. Should President Obama deliver an ultimatum and threaten military action against Iran?

You believe the President should threaten Iran with the use of military action

35.35%

You believe the President should not threaten Iran with the use of military action, but rather continue diplomacy

48.42%

If you do not have an opinion on Iran

16.23%

Republicans and others have criticized President Obama's handling of the attacks on our embassies and consulates in the Middle East, do you approve of President Obama's handling of the recent violence in the Middle East?

You do approve of President Obama's handling of the recent violence in the Middle East

41.40%

You do not approve of President Obama's handling of the recent violence in the Middle East

47.70%

You do not have an opinion on President Obama's handling of the recent violence in the Middle East

10.89%

Mitt Romney has been heavily criticized for his comment at a fundraiser that 47% of the American voters pay no income taxes, are dependent and don't want to take personal responsibility and that he can't worry about the choices of those voters. Romney initially defended his comments but now says he made a mistake and that he will focus on being a President for 100% of Americans. Has this 47% statement impacted your view of Mitt Romney? 

View Mitt Romney's 47% comment very negatively

42.75%

View Mitt Romney's 47% comment somewhat negatively

10.95%

Total Negative view on 47% comment

53.70% 

View Mitt Romney's 47% comment very positively

19.62%

View Mitt Romney's 47% comment somewhat positively

13.00%

Total Positive view on 47% comment

32.62%

Have no opinion on the 47% comment

13.68%

 

Methodology

Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automated polling random survey of Michigan registered and most likely November 2012 General election voters for Fox 2 News Detroit to determine their voting and issue preferences on the Presidential election, United States Senate and the six statewide ballot proposals and trust and knowledge issues regarding the Presidential campaign.

This twenty-two question automated poll survey was conducted on October 5, 2012

 The population surveyed consisted of a sample of traditional Michigan high participation registered voters and voters that fit Michigan General Election voting patterns. The majority of these voters have participated in a significant majority of the available primary and general election and odd year municipal and county elections in Michigan since their registration. Additionally, our call file does allow for random moderate and low participation voters to be included in the sample. Our call file was randomized to allow for the maximum range of participation and randomization.

An initial qualifying statement was read to respondents asking them to participate only if they were very likely to vote in the November General Election.

Twenty thousand five hundred and ninety (29,590) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey. The response rate for this survey was 3.79%. 

Our list-based sample pool was pre-weighted for the gender, ethnicity and age demographics, geographical regions and political participation regions and the congressional districts in Michigan. For reporting purposes, we will focus our findings on the following issue-based categories:

  1. The baseline for Presidential General Election Preference.
  2. The baseline for United State Senate General Election Preference.
  3. The impact of the Presidential Debate on voters' preference.
  4. Economic, Domestic Affairs and Foreign Affairs issues and their impact on voters' preference on the Presidential candidates.
  5. The baseline for all six Michigan Statewide ballot proposals.

The margin of error for this total polling sample is 2.93% with a confidence level of 95%. Our polling study produced sub-populations within each of the surveyed election contest. Results within the sub-populations will be reported with respect to the individual cross-tab and sub-population group as it exist.

 

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