1. Stephen Gostkowski vs. TBB
The Bucs are quickly establishing their defense as bend but don't break allowing touchdowns in only two of their first six defensive red zone stands. In addition they have allowed six field goals so far. New England has struggled to get into the end zone thanks to their absence of receiving talent and that has already added up to six of eight visits to the red zone ending without a TD. Stephen Gostkowski has five field goals already and has averaged nine points per week and that sounds about right for here.
2. Garrett Hartley vs. ARI
This has all the hallmarks of a perfect kicker matchup: indoor game, top offense going against ok but not great defense that is second in the league in opponent FG attempts so far, kicker leading league in attempts and makes. The only way I don't see a three field goal performance this week is if Drew Brees goes crazy scoring TDs right and left. Even then Garrett Hartley will get a bunch of extra points so a double-digit day should be in-store.
3. Blair Walsh vs. CLE
So far this year Walsh has picked up right where he left off last year being virtually automatic and averaging nine points per game. For his career Walsh has missed just three FG including none from beyond the Holy Grail mark of 50-yards. This is a must win game for the Vikings so they will do everything to get points on the board and that should provide many opportunities for their most consistent scoring threat.
4. Nick Folk vs. BUF
When you play for an awful team such as the New York Jets you are probably not owned in the fantasy arena, but there is one player who should be owned at least as a bye week fill-in and that is Nick Folk. A by-product of being part of a futile offense is that the Jets will offer several FG attempts for Folk. Buffalo has allowed opposing kickers to hit on a perfect six-for-six on FG while their defense is allowing only a 37% red zone TD percentage.
5. Matt Prater vs. OAK
Considering how incredible the Broncos offense has been, you'd think that Prater would be higher on this list. Unfortunately the Broncos offense has been too good leaving Prater with only two field goals. Of course he is a perfect 12/12 on extra points meaning he is still averaging nine points per game which should be top ten at kicker all season. Oakland's secondary is a joke that Peyton Manning and the Broncos will abuse over and over this week, at minimum another nine points is certain here.
6. Dan Bailey vs. STL
Two games, six field goals, including two from beyond 50-yards. This week the Cowboys face another supposedly solid secondary in St. Louis. Unfortunately that secondary has already allowed seven touchdowns and only three of those TDs have come from within the red zone as they have chosen to allow more "big play scores". So much for the touted duo of Cortland Finnegan and Janoris Jenkins. Dan Bailey should be able to finish near double digits again this week as Romo dismantles the Rams with ease.
7. Sebastian Janikowski @ DEN
Oakland has five successful field goals so far this year, four of which came last week against the Jaguars. If the Raiders cannot score more than one touchdown against Jacksonville what are they gonna do against the Broncos. Since neither Terrell Pryor nor Darren McFadden will put fear in Denver's defense, which should be boosted by a returning Champ Bailey, Oakland's best chance to score will once again fall at the foot of Janikowski. I'm expecting a busy day for both the Oakland kicker and punter this week.
8. Billy Cundiff @ MIN
Through two weeks Minnesota has allowed ten opponent red zone visits but only five red zone touchdowns. The Browns meanwhile have scored a total of 16 points and ten of those have come off the foot of Cundiff. Cleveland gets Josh Gordon back next week which should provide them a little more offense, but it's still the Browns so they still will probably stall out…just in better position to kick the FG. Cundiff also gets the boost of playing indoors this week.
9. Greg Zuerlein @ DAL
Zuerlein has averaged 9.5 points per game so far this year but this week St. Louis faces a Dallas Cowboys team that has allowed only one FG in each of the first two games. This is Greg the Leg we are talking about though. St. Louis has the confidence to give him a shot from anywhere on the field even though he was only 7/13 from beyond 50-yards last year. The sheer volume of long range opportunities the Rams are willing to allot him make him a sexy weekly play and he has the leg to make it at least half of the time.
10. Jay Feely @ NOS
Coming off a four FG performance against the Lions last week, Jay Feely gets an opportunity to once again put on a show at the Superdome. So far this year New Orleans has allowed only one field goal but last year the Saints allowed the second most field goals at home. Arizona is improved offensively and both teams are mediocre at best defensively so I expect both sides to score a fair amount and that should add up to multiple opportunities for Feely.
1. Caleb Sturgis vs. ATL
After booting three field goals Week 1, Sturgis fell back to just one last week. Atlanta allowed a trio of field goals Week 1 and only one last week as well. If we take the average of both these similar occurrences we are left with a pair of field goals for Sturgis this week. If Miami can add a pair of touchdowns on offense then Sturgis should approach ten points this week.
2. Alex Henery vs. KCC
Henery has scored an average of 9.5 points per game so far this year as Chip Kelly's offense has presented him with five field goal attempts. The Chiefs have a very good defense that should be able to hang with the fast-paced Eagles' offense and hold them reasonably in check. Last week that bend but don't break defense allowed the Cowboys to score only one touchdown while scoring three field goals. Based entirely on the volume of plays the Eagles will run I expect multiple FG attempts for Henery this week.