Insider Advantage poll: Deal well ahead in governor's race - Fox 2 News Headlines

Insider Advantage poll: Deal well ahead in governor's race

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Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal (WAGA file photo) Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal (WAGA file photo)
ATLANTA -

According to an exclusive Insider Advantage/ FOX 5 poll, Gov. Nathan Deal holds a significant lead over Jimmy Carter's grandson.

The poll suggests that the race will likely tighten by the time voters head to the polls in November, but at this time, 44 percent of voters said they would vote for incumbent Gov. Deal and only 22 percent said they would vote for state Sen. Jason Carter (D-Atlanta). About 34 percent said they were still undecided about who would earn their vote.

Insider Advantage CEO and FOX 5 political analyst Matt Towery said, "Deal has a considerable lead as one would expect. Polls showing this race close at this point would be more wishful thinking than reality. In all of my years polling for news affiliates, I have never seen a race this far out without a healthy 30 percent or so who state they are undecided. That is the case in this race as well."

Towery notes that Carter, the grandson of former President Jimmy Carter, hasn't begun television advertising yet, while Deal is actively on TV. However, Towery said he expects Deal's lead could shrink because of the following:

•    As is almost always the case, about 25 percent of African-Americans polled say they will vote for the Republican. In my experience this number almost always shifts to the Democrat.
•     Independent voters are far less likely to support Deal at this time, with nearly half undecided.
•    As expected female voters support Deal at about 10 points under the level of support by men. Deal and the entire GOP will have to seriously address the female vote in Georgia as we have indicated from prior polls
•    The fact that in some five polls conducted by InsiderAdvantage and in numerous others by broadcast/print media pollsters, Deal has yet to crack 45 percent among voters.

Alleged ethics allegations against Deal appear to have had little impact on voters. According to the poll, 57 percent of voters said they were aware of the allegations, 38 percent said they were unaware while 5 percent said they had no opinion.  Towery noted that most who were aware of the allegations were likely to be Deal supporters.

State Superintendent of Schools John Barge and Dalton Mayor David Pennington are also running for the Republican nomination.

The poll consisted of a survey of 529 registered voters in Georgia and was conducted the evening of Jan. 6.

More info: Insider Advantage website

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