Tim Skubick: Poll shows Mark Schauer's likely voters - Fox 2 News Headlines

Tim Skubick: Poll shows Mark Schauer's likely voters

Posted: Updated:
LANSING, Mich. (WJBK) -

Democratic challenger Mark Schauer can beat incumbent Gov. Rick Snyder if the voting population is narrowly drawn based on the latest EPIC-MRA numbers.  Or put another way, he wins but only if his supporters are the only ones who vote which is pretty unlikely.

When you dive into the survey you see that the person who supports Mr. Scahuer has the following profile: Pro-choice, lives in a labor household, is between 50-64 and is a non-believer when it comes to religion.

In addition, that voter is a liberal, no shocker there, earns under $25,000 a year and resides in Macomb County.

However Mr. Snyder holds a lead in all the other segments of the voting universe.

Yet if you are in the Schauer camp you could draw some solice from knowing that pro-choice voters favor him by a wide 55%-32% margin.  The lead is a little bigger, 57%-33% in union households and the challenger has a ten point lead with those between 50-and 64 years of age and a twenty-four point margin with those who don't go to church.

In the all important moderate voter contest, it is a tie with each receiving 41% of the middle of the road vote.

President Barack Obama rode to victory over Mitt Romney by holding together the African-American vote and the "other" minority voting blocks.

Mr. Schauer is doing well there with a commanding 61-17 point lead with Blacks and a 55%-30% lead with other minorities.  The 17 points for a GOP incumbent is pretty good and Mr. Schauer will want to up that 61% figure before all the votes are counted.

In vote rich Wayne-Oakland-Macomb Counties the two are very close.  Mr. Schauer gets 45% to Mr. Snyder's 42% but with a 4% margin of error, the contest is a dead heat there.  Across the rest of the state the governor is doing well with a 22 point lead in Mid-Michigan, 25 points in West Michigan and 20 and 27 points respectively in the Bay region and up North.

The pundits will suggest Democrat Schauer has a base of supporters from which to work, but he'll need to build upon that or else the other guy wins.  But has the Schauer folks like to say, "it's still early."

  • Download the FOX 2 Apps


  • FOX 2 News Five-Day Forecast
  • PoliticalMore>>

  • Foley's death isn't changing views in Congress

    Foley's death isn't changing views in Congress

    Thursday, August 21 2014 10:04 AM EDT2014-08-21 14:04:21 GMT
    For all its horror, the beheading of an American journalist in Syria appears unlikely to change lawmakers' minds about military intervention against Islamic State extremists. It's equally unclear whether...
    For all its horror, the beheading of an American journalist in Syria appears unlikely to change lawmakers' minds about military intervention against Islamic State extremists. It's equally unclear whether the Obama...
  • Justice Dept. announces $17B settlement with BofA

    Justice Dept. announces $17B settlement with BofA

    Thursday, August 21 2014 9:54 AM EDT2014-08-21 13:54:58 GMT
    Bank of America's purchase of Countrywide Financial has cost it tens of billions of dollars over the past six years. An expected $17 billion settlement with the Justice Departm ent will increase that toll, but...
    The government has reached a $16.65 billion settlement with Bank of America over its role in the sale of mortgage-backed securities in the run-up to the financial crisis, the Justice Department announced Thursday.
  • SAfrican lawmakers protest presidential scandal

    SAfrican lawmakers protest presidential scandal

    Thursday, August 21 2014 9:54 AM EDT2014-08-21 13:54:41 GMT
    Opposition lawmakers have heckled South African President Jacob Zuma during a parliamentary session in which questions were raised about more than $20 million in state spending on the president's private home.
    Opposition lawmakers have heckled South African President Jacob Zuma during a parliamentary session in which questions were raised about more than $20 million in state spending on the president's private home.
Powered by WorldNow

WJBK-TV | Fox 2
16550 West Nine Mile Rd.
Southfield, MI 48075

Main Station: (248) 557-2000
Newsroom: (248) 552-5103

Didn't find what you were looking for?
All content © Copyright 2000 - 2014 Fox Television Stations, Inc. and Worldnow. All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy | New Terms of Service What's new | Ad Choices